Not a single UK constituency would vote for Donald Trump: poll
Three-quarters of British voters would back Joe Biden if they could vote in Tuesday's US election.
LONDON — The British public would kick Donald Trump out of the White House in this week’s U.S. presidential election and elect Joe Biden in a landslide instead, according to an exclusive POLITICO poll by Hanbury Strategy.
The survey showed the Democratic candidate would win every single British constituency if voters faced the choice presented to Americans in Tuesday’s U.S. election.
The survey — which gathered responses from 3,991 British voters between October 9 and 15 and then ran the findings through a model to calculate estimated results for each parliamentary constituency in Great Britain — show that the most pro-Trump areas are less wealthy, coastal communities in England. Great Grimsby ranked as Britain’s most pro-Trump constituency area, although even here only 32.7 percent of voters would choose Trump over Biden. Even in British towns normally sympathetic to the Republican Party, the majority would still cast their ballot for Biden.
Interestingly for a center-left candidate, older Brits count among Biden’s biggest fans. Eighty-three percent of voters aged 65 or older, and 80 percent aged between 55 and 64 would vote for the Democrat leader. Support is slightly lower among youngsters, with just 73 percent of those aged between 18 and 24 choosing Biden over Trump.
Hanbury Strategy Partner James Kanagasooriam, who led the research, said Brits would be “overjoyed to see the back of president Trump” if he loses this week.
“Supporters from each of the main British political parties are overwhelmingly in favor of Joe Biden winning,” he said. “The results suggest that U.S. culture wars don’t translate neatly across when they are imported to the U.K.”
Kanagasooriam added the research shows the “extreme damage to America’s standing in the world” caused by Trump.
Biden is currently forecast to win Tuesday’s vote, according to POLITICO’s Poll of Polls, which puts the Democrat on 290 electoral college votes compared to Trump’s 163.
Labour’s Ian Murray, MP for Edinburgh South, the second most pro-Biden constituency in Britain, said Trump tends to attract those who feel disenfranchised by promising very simple answers to difficult questions, but the British public feels uncomfortable with some of his rhetoric.
“The U.K. as a country rejects all that kind of divisive nationalism that Trump embodies — his racism, misogyny, his mocking of disabled people, the incompetence,” Murray said. “The British people have a very strong respect for the U.S. president and the U.S., but repel those things and I think they think Trump is completely ill equipped for that job.”
However, Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage, who joined Trump at a campaign rally last week, blamed British press coverage for the poll results. “[Trump has] been portrayed as a monster by the U.K. press. From the moment he took office, virtually every media organization, every public commentator has said bad things about him,” he said. “Even when he achieved remarkable things like the extraordinary deal in the Middle East, he doesn’t get any credit for it.”
Brits will watch the U.S. election closely this week, with Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s government eying America as a key ally as the U.K. seeks to redefine its position on the world stage after Brexit. Trade talks continue between the two sides and many in London worry that Biden won’t devote enough time and political energy to sealing a deal should he win the White House.
The British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab downplayed media reports suggesting that British officials had failed to meet a single senior member of Biden’s foreign policy team in recent weeks. In an interview with the BBC Radio 4’s “Today” program Friday, Raab said the U.K. was “exceptionally well placed” to make sure that its relationship with the U.S. thrives “whoever is in the White House.”
Downing Street declined to comment.